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2017-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 โœ“ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Williams * 34 2-8 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 4 5 -
Kemba Walker * 29 3-11 0-3 1-1 1 4 0 0 2 7 -1 -
Jeremy Lamb * 28 3-9 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Cody Zeller * 26 3-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 3 1 1 7 7 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 26 5-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 10 5 -
Frank Kaminsky 31 7-15 1-8 5-7 4 1 1 0 2 20 9 -
Marco Belinelli 26 4-10 2-6 1-2 1 3 2 0 2 11 5 -
Briante Weber 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 8 9 -
Treveon Graham 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Brian Roberts 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Christian Wood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 37 1-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
Myles Turner * 37 3-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 2 3 1 6 16 -
Paul George * 33 15-21 6-10 3-3 5 3 3 0 3 39 26 -
Jeff Teague * 29 3-8 2-5 0-0 8 11 0 0 4 8 15 -
CJ Miles * 18 3-6 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Monta Ellis 26 7-13 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 2 0 16 9 -
Rodney Stuckey 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
Glenn Robinson III 15 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Kevin Seraphin 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
Rakeem Christmas 10 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Aaron Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter