Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 36 | 13-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nicolas Brussino | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 39 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 24 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kris Dunn | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter