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2017-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +17 (110-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell * 37 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 11 3 0 4 8 17 -
Nik Stauskas * 35 3-11 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 1 1 7 5 -
Robert Covington * 31 5-12 3-6 2-2 10 2 1 1 2 15 15 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 30 8-15 3-6 2-3 3 4 0 1 1 21 13 -
Jahlil Okafor * 29 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 3 3 12 10 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 20 2-3 1-1 5-6 1 2 1 0 5 10 6 -
Gerald Henderson 19 3-8 2-6 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 10 5 -
Dario Saric 15 1-10 1-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 3 -3 -
Nerlens Noel 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Richaun Holmes 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Chasson Randle 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Millsap * 35 9-14 1-2 3-6 10 1 1 2 3 22 19 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 32 3-6 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
Dwight Howard * 32 5-7 0-0 3-7 15 3 0 1 2 13 23 -
Dennis Schröder * 30 6-18 1-2 2-2 1 9 2 1 1 15 9 -
Kent Bazemore * 24 7-12 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 16 7 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 27 5-14 2-7 0-0 3 6 2 0 4 12 5 -
Malcolm Delaney 18 6-9 1-3 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 13 5 -
Mike Dunleavy 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
Kris Humphries 15 2-4 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 0 0 7 12 -
Mike Scott 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter