Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (124-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 39 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kris Dunn | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 7-20 | 1-1 | 12-13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 29 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 16 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Norman Powell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter