Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +18 (109-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 31 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Henry Ellenson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 17-27 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 13 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Norman Powell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter