Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -5 (91-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boban Marjanović * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Danny Green * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 40 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Justin Anderson * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Salah Mejri * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Lee * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter