Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (98-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 34 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter