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2016-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (102-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dion Waiters * 42 5-22 1-7 6-7 5 4 1 1 4 17 2 -
Cameron Payne * 39 8-20 1-6 0-0 3 7 1 0 6 17 2 -
Enes Freedom * 38 6-14 1-3 4-4 16 0 1 0 3 17 17 -
Steven Adams * 37 7-8 0-0 3-3 9 0 0 2 2 17 18 -
Nick Collison * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 0 3 6 13 -
Andre Roberson * 27 2-3 1-2 0-2 10 0 2 2 0 5 16 -
Anthony Morrow * 21 1-6 1-3 5-5 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Randy Foye * 16 2-7 0-2 4-4 1 3 0 0 3 8 2 -
Kyle Singler * 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Josh Huestis 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 10-20 1-5 5-8 5 5 2 2 3 26 17 -
Tony Parker * 37 8-14 0-0 4-5 1 3 3 0 1 20 12 -
Tim Duncan * 34 5-14 0-0 2-4 9 3 0 1 1 12 10 -
David West * 30 3-11 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 8 4 -
Danny Green * 26 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 6 9 -
Boban Marjanović * 22 4-5 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 2 2 9 12 -
Kyle Anderson * 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 4 6 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 19 2-5 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
Kevin Martin * 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 -2 -
Patty Mills * 15 1-5 1-2 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
Jonathon Simmons 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter