Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (93-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 41 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 26 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Stanley Johnson * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter