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2016-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -24 (105-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Beverley * 34 3-7 1-3 4-6 5 4 1 2 0 11 16 -
James Harden * 31 12-21 5-7 5-7 1 6 0 0 3 34 17 -
Trevor Ariza * 28 8-11 3-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 21 17 -
Dwight Howard * 26 8-11 0-0 3-4 8 3 1 1 4 19 17 -
Josh Smith * 23 3-6 3-6 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 11 12 -
Jason Terry * 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 19 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 7 7 -
Clint Capela * 15 5-8 0-0 0-1 10 0 1 1 1 10 13 -
Corey Brewer * 14 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 4 2 1 2 2 6 -
KJ McDaniels 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Andrew Goudelock 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Terrence Jones 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Michael Beasley 5 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 4 5 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 29 3-7 1-3 4-4 14 1 0 0 2 11 17 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 27 6-15 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 12 4 -
Zach LaVine * 27 8-14 3-7 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 21 13 -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 3-7 0-0 6-6 1 3 1 0 4 12 6 -
Tyus Jones * 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 2 5 -
Gorgui Dieng * 25 4-8 0-0 5-6 4 1 1 0 0 13 11 -
Shabazz Muhammad * 22 9-13 1-3 4-7 1 2 1 0 1 23 13 -
Ricky Rubio * 22 2-6 0-2 0-2 2 5 2 1 0 4 8 -
Tayshaun Prince * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Adreian Payne * 9 2-6 0-1 3-6 4 0 3 0 1 7 7 -
Damjan Rudez 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Greg Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter