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2016-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +15 (109-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 33 10-17 0-4 0-1 11 2 1 1 1 20 17 -
Kyle Korver * 32 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Jeff Teague * 31 9-13 1-2 2-4 0 9 1 0 6 21 12 -
Paul Millsap * 30 3-14 0-3 3-5 8 3 0 3 2 9 7 -
Kent Bazemore * 26 8-15 5-8 2-2 6 1 3 1 3 23 16 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 17 4-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
Dennis Schröder * 16 2-8 0-4 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 4 2 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
Mike Scott * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kris Humphries 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Mike Muscala 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Kirk Hinrich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 40 14-28 4-8 3-3 4 5 2 1 6 35 13 -
Tristan Thompson * 36 2-6 0-0 5-7 10 1 3 1 0 9 18 -
JR Smith * 32 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
LeBron James * 32 13-16 3-4 5-5 6 6 2 1 4 34 29 -
Kevin Love * 29 2-8 2-5 4-4 14 1 2 0 1 10 18 -
Richard Jefferson * 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Matthew Dellavedova * 20 4-8 1-3 1-1 1 3 0 0 0 10 6 -
Channing Frye * 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 1 -
Jordan McRae * 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
James Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sasha Kaun 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter