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2016-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 13-22 4-9 7-7 5 5 2 0 4 37 23 -
Klay Thompson * 34 6-14 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 14 7 -
Draymond Green * 33 4-5 1-2 2-3 4 4 0 1 1 11 14 -
Harrison Barnes * 33 3-10 1-5 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
Andre Iguodala * 28 1-5 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 1 0 3 10 -
Andrew Bogut * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Shaun Livingston * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 4 4 -
Brandon Rush * 10 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Festus Ezeli * 6 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 1 4 -
Ian Clark * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Marreese Speights 8 2-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 6 9 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 7-22 0-3 6-7 13 5 2 3 0 20 21 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 33 11-18 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 1 24 17 -
Tony Parker * 29 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 4 3 -
David West * 28 2-7 0-0 0-1 10 3 2 0 1 4 11 -
Danny Green * 24 1-7 0-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 2 -4 -
Manu Ginobili * 20 2-7 1-2 3-4 1 3 3 1 1 8 8 -
Patty Mills * 20 2-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 7 4 -
Kevin Martin * 19 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
Kyle Anderson * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Boban Marjanović * 6 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter