Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +22 (118-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Devyn Marble * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Shabazz Napier * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 16 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Briante Weber | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter