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2016-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: LA Clippers +7 (98-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 30 7-14 1-5 6-7 4 5 0 2 4 21 14 -
Wesley Matthews * 30 2-9 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 3 7 -2 -
Deron Williams * 28 6-11 0-2 3-5 4 3 1 0 2 15 10 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 27 4-9 1-4 5-5 5 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
Justin Anderson * 26 0-4 0-3 3-6 6 2 1 0 1 3 7 -
Devin Harris * 25 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
David Lee * 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 2 7 -
Zaza Pachulia * 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 2 5 6 -
Charlie Villanueva * 13 4-11 3-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 11 8 -
Salah Mejri 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 1 6 -
Dwight Powell 8 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
JaVale McGee 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 35 2-10 0-4 1-1 7 11 1 0 0 5 14 -
Blake Griffin * 33 7-18 0-0 3-5 11 7 2 0 4 17 15 -
DeAndre Jordan * 32 4-5 0-0 6-23 10 0 0 1 1 14 19 -
JJ Redick * 30 8-10 4-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 20 12 -
Jamal Crawford * 26 7-13 4-6 4-7 1 2 1 0 2 22 11 -
Jeff Green * 19 5-11 0-2 1-1 1 2 3 1 0 11 7 -
Wesley Johnson * 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 -
Austin Rivers * 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -4 -
Cole Aldrich * 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 4 11 -
Pablo Prigioni 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jeff Ayres 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Wilcox 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter