Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 34 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 4-18 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Justin Anderson * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris | 31 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Lee | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 44 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 41 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter