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2016-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.4 โœ— (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Randolph * 37 7-17 0-0 2-4 6 5 3 1 2 16 12 -
Matt Barnes * 32 4-10 0-3 1-2 0 3 0 1 2 9 1 -
Tony Allen * 31 12-12 0-0 3-5 4 5 1 0 5 27 20 -
Ray McCallum * 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chris Andersen * 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Jordan Farmar 30 2-9 2-6 2-2 1 5 2 0 3 8 4 -
Lance Stephenson 21 5-12 1-1 5-5 6 0 2 0 2 16 10 -
JaMychal Green 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Vince Carter 13 1-5 1-2 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
Jarell Martin 12 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 2 0 2 6 5 -
Ryan Hollins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Xavier Munford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 33 6-8 0-0 1-1 14 5 1 3 2 13 26 -
Jordan Clarkson * 32 8-13 2-3 4-4 5 1 2 0 3 22 14 -
Kobe Bryant * 30 7-18 2-5 4-4 2 1 1 1 4 20 3 -
Roy Hibbert * 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
D'Angelo Russell * 21 5-10 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 3 11 1 -
Brandon Bass 26 7-10 0-1 4-4 6 1 2 0 2 18 15 -
Lou Williams 26 3-10 2-6 5-6 1 2 1 0 1 13 6 -
Marcelo Huertas 19 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 7 0 0 2 4 7 -
Tarik Black 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 0 7 -
Metta World Peace 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter