Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (104-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 5-14 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| James Michael McAdoo * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anderson Varejao | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ian Clark | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 39 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 38 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Greg Smith | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter