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2016-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 40 13-22 0-2 6-7 11 1 2 1 1 32 24 -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 8-12 1-2 4-4 2 5 3 0 4 21 15 -
Gorgui Dieng * 35 3-11 0-0 7-8 9 5 2 1 1 13 18 -
Zach LaVine * 35 6-15 3-5 0-0 2 3 4 1 0 15 10 -
Ricky Rubio * 32 6-9 1-4 1-1 3 6 0 1 5 14 10 -
Shabazz Muhammad 17 5-7 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 12 9 -
Tyus Jones 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
Tayshaun Prince 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
Greg Smith 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
Adreian Payne 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 11-20 3-8 4-4 5 14 3 0 9 29 22 -
Patrick Beverley * 35 6-10 5-9 1-2 5 10 1 1 3 18 22 -
Trevor Ariza * 34 5-10 1-5 4-6 2 4 1 0 0 15 12 -
Dwight Howard * 29 5-7 0-0 0-2 11 1 1 1 2 10 15 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 26 8-12 1-2 0-0 9 1 1 2 1 17 17 -
Michael Beasley 26 8-14 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 17 10 -
Jason Terry 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Clint Capela 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 8 -
Corey Brewer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
KJ McDaniels 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter