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2016-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (98-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Collison * 41 10-14 1-2 1-2 1 6 1 0 5 22 11 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 36 4-10 1-1 13-15 8 3 3 4 3 22 27 -
Rajon Rondo * 36 2-8 1-5 4-4 6 12 4 0 6 9 17 -
Rudy Gay * 35 9-16 0-2 2-2 8 3 3 1 1 20 18 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 31 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
Omri Casspi 20 4-11 0-3 1-3 4 1 4 1 0 9 8 -
Marco Belinelli 15 3-10 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 9 2 -
Kosta Koufos 11 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Seth Curry 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Quincy Acy 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 30 5-12 0-0 4-6 11 3 2 0 2 14 16 -
Jordan Clarkson * 26 5-16 2-8 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 12 -3 -
D'Angelo Russell * 25 4-9 1-5 5-7 3 3 4 0 5 14 10 -
Metta World Peace * 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Roy Hibbert * 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 6-7 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 12 14 -
Lou Williams 24 3-9 2-6 9-11 4 2 1 1 2 17 14 -
Robert Sacre 22 5-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
Ryan Kelly 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Marcelo Huertas 19 4-10 0-2 0-0 5 6 0 1 5 8 5 -
Tarik Black 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 6 8 -

* = starter