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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Margin 91.4% 8.6% -13.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -12 (108-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 37 11-20 2-7 2-2 2 9 0 1 2 26 16 -
LeBron James * 34 9-18 1-4 5-8 5 7 0 2 3 24 17 -
Tristan Thompson * 34 3-5 0-0 4-6 14 1 1 0 1 10 20 -
JR Smith * 33 5-10 4-7 3-4 2 2 2 1 0 17 14 -
Channing Frye * 24 8-10 5-7 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 21 20 -
Iman Shumpert 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
James Jones 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Matthew Dellavedova 16 4-9 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
Timofey Mozgov 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 -
Jordan McRae 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sasha Kaun 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Clarkson * 34 2-12 0-6 1-1 1 1 2 0 0 5 -3 -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 8-19 4-10 4-4 4 5 0 0 0 24 14 -
Julius Randle * 32 6-10 0-0 3-3 9 1 2 0 4 15 13 -
Kobe Bryant * 32 11-16 3-4 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 26 19 -
Roy Hibbert * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 4 0 -
Marcelo Huertas 28 6-10 0-1 1-1 3 5 1 2 1 13 13 -
Brandon Bass 24 5-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 1 0 12 18 -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
Metta World Peace 13 1-3 0-1 4-6 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Tarik Black 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter