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2016-03-08

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.9% 14.1% - โœ“
Margin 87.9% 12.1% -10.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -25 (91-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Green * 32 4-11 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 2 1 9 9 -
David West * 30 7-9 0-0 4-4 4 3 2 1 1 18 18 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 29 11-13 0-0 7-8 7 4 1 4 0 29 32 -
Kawhi Leonard * 24 6-12 0-1 3-3 5 2 1 0 0 15 11 -
Andre Miller * 24 5-6 1-1 2-2 2 5 1 0 1 13 14 -
Kyle Anderson 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 4 8 10 -
Jonathon Simmons 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Patty Mills 17 3-11 1-8 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 7 1 -
Boris Diaw 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 6 8 -
Boban Marjanovic 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
Matt Bonner 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Rasual Butler 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 9-21 1-3 4-4 8 1 1 0 5 23 7 -
Zach LaVine * 36 7-10 1-3 0-1 2 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 9-17 0-2 1-2 9 1 0 0 3 19 9 -
Gorgui Dieng * 27 1-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 2 2 4 4 -
Ricky Rubio * 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
Tyus Jones 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 0 10 9 -
Shabazz Muhammad 21 2-5 0-1 7-8 2 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
Adreian Payne 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
Damjan Rudez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Greg Smith 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter