Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (25.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -29 (77-106). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Bazemore * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 29 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Mike Scott | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Edy Tavares | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Brown * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 3-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Nick Young * | 25 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Metta World Peace | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tarik Black | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter