Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | โ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 22 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tarik Black | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nick Young | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay * | 33 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Jokiฤ * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Will Barton | 24 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 23 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
* = starter