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2016-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -17 (95-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
PJ Hairston * 30 8-13 5-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 21 10 -
Matt Barnes * 29 0-5 0-4 0-0 7 3 1 1 1 0 6 -
Mike Conley * 28 6-10 2-5 3-3 1 7 1 0 1 17 15 -
Zach Randolph * 25 6-12 1-2 2-2 10 5 0 0 1 15 17 -
Brandan Wright * 18 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 12 -
Lance Stephenson 25 7-15 0-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 14 9 -
JaMychal Green 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 3 10 4 -
Vince Carter 19 7-10 5-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 19 13 -
Chris Andersen 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 0 2 7 -
Mario Chalmers 15 0-3 0-1 4-6 2 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
James Ennis III 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Brown * 31 2-7 0-2 1-1 5 2 2 0 0 5 7 -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 6-9 2-2 8-12 3 3 1 0 1 22 19 -
Jordan Clarkson * 28 4-16 0-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 8 -3 -
Julius Randle * 24 6-12 0-1 5-8 7 0 1 0 2 17 11 -
Roy Hibbert * 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Lou Williams 23 4-8 1-5 4-5 1 3 2 0 1 13 10 -
Nick Young 17 2-6 1-5 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 6 4 -
Brandon Bass 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Tarik Black 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 1 0 2 6 -
Marcelo Huertas 6 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
Ryan Kelly 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Robert Sacre 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter