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2016-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (126-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Clarkson * 36 7-16 2-5 4-6 9 4 1 0 1 20 17 -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 6-13 2-2 1-2 2 6 1 0 2 15 9 -
Julius Randle * 32 10-19 0-1 2-3 12 0 0 0 1 22 14 -
Kobe Bryant * 27 8-20 1-7 5-7 4 1 0 0 0 22 7 -
Roy Hibbert * 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Brandon Bass 26 4-5 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 2 1 13 18 -
Lou Williams 25 3-6 1-2 4-7 2 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
Nick Young 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 3 6 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E'Twaun Moore * 41 10-14 4-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 24 16 -
Pau Gasol * 37 7-15 1-1 6-6 7 5 0 5 0 21 23 -
Derrick Rose * 30 8-15 0-1 8-8 7 6 0 0 2 24 20 -
Taj Gibson * 28 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 4 0 1 2 5 11 -
Mike Dunleavy * 24 4-6 2-3 7-7 1 2 0 0 0 17 14 -
Bobby Portis Jr. 25 6-9 3-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 2 17 16 -
Doug McDermott 21 6-9 3-4 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 16 7 -
Aaron Brooks 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 9 1 0 1 2 8 -
Tony Snell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cristiano Felicio 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter