Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (117-112). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 11-19 | 3-3 | 10-13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 11 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 26 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 26 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Delon Wright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorgui Dieng * | 41 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 35 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 31 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andre Miller | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter