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2016-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.5% 24.5% - โœ“
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 โœ“ (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -23 (91-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E'Twaun Moore * 36 3-9 0-3 2-2 2 1 2 1 1 8 4 -
Taj Gibson * 36 4-10 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 2 1 9 14 -
Jimmy Butler III * 31 11-17 1-2 3-3 5 10 4 0 0 26 28 -
Pau Gasol * 30 9-17 0-0 3-3 12 7 1 1 3 21 22 -
Derrick Rose * 28 7-12 0-2 2-2 7 5 1 0 1 16 16 -
Doug McDermott 24 6-15 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 15 2 -
Bobby Portis Jr. 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 0 0 4 10 -
Aaron Brooks 18 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
Tony Snell 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Cameron Bairstow 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Cristiano Felicio 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Brown * 34 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
Julius Randle * 26 4-8 0-0 6-6 8 1 1 1 2 14 15 -
Jordan Clarkson * 26 5-14 2-3 4-5 4 4 0 0 2 16 8 -
Kobe Bryant * 25 4-13 2-7 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 10 4 -
Roy Hibbert * 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 6 1 -
Nick Young 28 5-10 3-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 14 5 -
D'Angelo Russell 23 1-7 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 3 2 -
Brandon Bass 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 2 0 6 10 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
Marcelo Huertas 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Tarik Black 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Ryan Kelly 5 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -

* = starter