Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.2% | 4.8% | -16.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -13 (95-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| David West * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green * | 21 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 19 | 9-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Boban Marjanovic | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ray McCallum | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 30 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tarik Black | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter