Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -17 (95-112). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 27 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 7-10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Jones | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 20 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| KJ McDaniels | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Williams * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 29 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tarik Black | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter