Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | -5.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -26 (99-125). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| JR Smith * | 19 | 10-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Iman Shumpert | 28 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jared Cunningham | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| James Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 39 | 12-19 | 3-7 | 8-12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 35 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 26 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter