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2016-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - ✗
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 ✗ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 35 6-15 2-2 6-7 7 4 0 0 2 20 14 -
Nikola Jokić * 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 4 5 -
Gary Harris * 24 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Jameer Nelson * 20 2-8 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Kenneth Faried * 18 1-8 0-0 1-2 7 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
Darrell Arthur 29 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 5 1 2 0 7 13 -
Randy Foye 27 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
Will Barton 25 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
Jusuf Nurkić 22 6-14 0-0 3-6 10 2 0 5 1 15 17 -
Kostas Papanikolaou 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Mike Miller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 32 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 6 8 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 6-14 0-1 2-2 14 2 0 2 0 14 18 -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 4-14 0-1 3-6 3 1 0 0 4 11 -3 -
Ricky Rubio * 31 3-8 2-4 1-2 4 7 1 0 0 9 13 -
Kevin Garnett * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 4 8 -
Gorgui Dieng 27 0-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 0 0 8 -
Kevin Martin 16 3-9 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
Zach LaVine 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 2 1 -
Nikola Pekovic 15 3-4 0-0 6-6 2 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
Shabazz Muhammad 15 3-6 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 -

* = starter