Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.7% | 5.3% | -15.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -21 (88-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 12-22 | 6-13 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 26 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 23 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ian Clark | 21 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Brown * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 28 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Metta World Peace | 24 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Julius Randle | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nick Young | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Tarik Black | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter