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2015-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -14 (88-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 36 8-15 1-5 5-5 6 3 1 0 6 22 11 -
Paul George * 32 7-16 4-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 18 5 -
George Hill * 31 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 4 3 0 1 7 12 -
Ian Mahinmi * 22 4-4 0-0 3-3 6 2 1 0 2 11 14 -
CJ Miles * 17 2-8 1-6 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 -1 -
Lavoy Allen 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 8 9 -
Jordan Hill 27 5-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
Rodney Stuckey 23 3-9 1-3 0-0 5 8 1 0 2 7 10 -
Chase Budinger 15 4-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 11 10 -
Glenn Robinson III 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 39 10-16 0-2 4-5 8 3 1 1 5 24 16 -
Andrew Wiggins * 37 9-18 0-1 1-3 3 1 1 0 1 19 5 -
Ricky Rubio * 36 6-10 1-4 2-2 5 9 5 0 5 15 19 -
Tayshaun Prince * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 4 -
Kevin Garnett * 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
Gorgui Dieng 34 2-8 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 0 6 7 3 -
Zach LaVine 26 3-10 1-3 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 9 3 -
Tyus Jones 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Adreian Payne 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Shabazz Muhammad 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter