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2015-12-25

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 83.5% 16.5% - โœ“
Margin 85.9% 14.1% -9.9 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.2% 15.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (84-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Griffin * 36 6-16 0-1 1-2 12 7 1 1 6 13 12 -
DeAndre Jordan * 36 4-6 0-0 1-2 14 1 1 1 1 9 19 -
Chris Paul * 34 11-19 0-3 1-1 5 6 3 0 1 23 17 -
JJ Redick * 28 5-12 3-8 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 14 7 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
Jamal Crawford 19 4-10 1-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 13 6 -
Lance Stephenson 14 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Pablo Prigioni 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 3 8 -
Cole Aldrich 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Paul Pierce 11 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Wesley Johnson 10 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Clarkson * 30 4-9 0-3 3-4 3 3 1 0 4 11 5 -
Roy Hibbert * 27 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
Kobe Bryant * 26 4-10 3-5 1-4 3 3 2 0 3 12 7 -
Lou Williams * 25 1-5 1-3 4-7 1 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Julius Randle 27 3-11 1-3 4-6 8 2 3 0 3 11 10 -
D'Angelo Russell 27 7-13 2-5 0-2 7 1 2 1 4 16 10 -
Nick Young 21 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Bass 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 7 8 -
Marcelo Huertas 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 7 -

* = starter