Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | +5.0 | โ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | โ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (107-111). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Williams * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 32 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 9-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Julius Randle | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nick Young | 16 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kostas Papanikolaou * | 11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Will Barton | 38 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Jokiฤ | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Randy Foye | 29 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter