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2015-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +22 (109-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 36 9-23 5-10 1-2 6 6 2 0 3 24 12 -
Lou Williams * 33 7-12 2-5 3-3 3 1 2 1 2 19 12 -
Roy Hibbert * 30 2-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 4 3 -
Kobe Bryant * 28 5-12 1-5 1-2 6 4 0 0 2 12 8 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 2 2 0 -
Marcelo Huertas 20 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 4 5 -
Julius Randle 20 2-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
Nick Young 19 2-6 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Robert Sacre 12 1-5 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
Ryan Kelly 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
Brandon Bass 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Anthony Brown 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 27 11-20 0-0 2-5 11 3 0 0 2 24 16 -
Kawhi Leonard * 24 6-12 0-2 4-4 11 2 3 1 0 16 21 -
Ray McCallum * 23 2-8 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 2 1 5 6 -
Tim Duncan * 20 2-5 0-0 1-4 4 2 1 1 2 5 6 -
Danny Green * 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 3 4 -
Boris Diaw 25 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 8 7 -
Patty Mills 21 9-11 3-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 22 17 -
Kyle Anderson 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
Jonathon Simmons 18 2-3 0-0 5-5 2 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
David West 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
Rasual Butler 10 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Boban Marjanovic 5 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Manu Ginobili 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter