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2015-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 โœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (111-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Clarkson * 30 3-11 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 7 -2 -
Kobe Bryant * 25 2-15 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 5 -8 -
Julius Randle * 24 5-9 0-0 5-7 11 0 0 0 0 15 17 -
Roy Hibbert * 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 8 9 -
D'Angelo Russell * 22 5-9 0-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 4 12 6 -
Lou Williams 31 6-12 3-6 6-9 0 0 0 0 1 21 8 -
Metta World Peace 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 -
Ryan Kelly 12 1-2 0-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
Larry Nance Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Marcelo Huertas 12 3-5 1-1 1-1 1 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
Robert Sacre 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
Brandon Bass 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Nick Young 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 9-14 1-2 3-3 4 2 4 0 1 22 17 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 30 4-13 0-2 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 9 1 -
Andre Drummond * 24 8-12 0-0 2-5 15 0 1 0 0 18 22 -
Reggie Jackson * 24 6-13 2-2 6-6 3 6 3 0 2 20 17 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
Anthony Tolliver 33 3-9 2-7 1-2 13 0 1 0 2 9 12 -
Stanley Johnson 27 2-10 0-3 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
Aron Baynes 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
Steve Blake 18 3-5 2-2 1-1 4 5 1 0 4 9 10 -
Darrun Hilliard 6 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Spencer Dinwiddie 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Joel Anthony 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter