Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ed Davis | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 23 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 13-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 22 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter