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2015-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (100-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 36 6-16 4-7 0-0 10 4 1 0 7 16 8 -
Kobe Bryant * 35 4-19 2-10 4-5 3 5 2 2 2 14 5 -
Jordan Clarkson * 28 5-8 3-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 13 9 -
Julius Randle * 27 3-12 0-0 2-2 5 0 3 1 1 8 4 -
Roy Hibbert * 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 -
Lou Williams 30 6-13 3-6 3-4 1 2 1 1 1 18 9 -
Brandon Bass 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 4 8 -
Larry Nance Jr. 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
Metta World Peace 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Millsap * 33 6-12 0-1 3-3 8 2 2 2 2 15 15 -
Al Horford * 33 6-11 1-4 3-4 9 5 1 1 3 16 18 -
Kyle Korver * 32 3-8 1-5 0-0 6 4 1 3 3 7 10 -
Jeff Teague * 31 5-9 1-3 2-2 1 5 2 0 1 13 11 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 31 3-7 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 8 6 -
Kent Bazemore 25 5-10 2-3 3-4 3 2 4 0 0 15 14 -
Mike Scott 16 5-9 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
Dennis Schröder 16 2-4 1-3 1-2 5 2 0 1 2 6 8 -
Mike Muscala 12 2-4 1-1 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
Lamar Patterson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter