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2015-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (103-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 36 5-7 1-2 4-4 3 6 0 1 4 15 14 -
Paul George * 36 10-22 5-11 14-17 4 1 2 1 4 39 21 -
George Hill * 33 4-10 1-3 2-3 6 3 2 0 2 11 10 -
CJ Miles * 30 3-13 2-9 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 9 2 -
Ian Mahinmi * 27 2-3 0-0 4-6 10 2 0 2 2 8 17 -
Rodney Stuckey 27 3-11 0-1 5-5 7 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
Jordan Hill 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
Lavoy Allen 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Chase Budinger 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Clarkson * 39 8-15 2-4 4-4 10 6 1 0 0 22 24 -
Kobe Bryant * 33 4-20 2-7 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 13 0 -
Julius Randle * 27 4-11 0-0 3-4 12 1 0 1 4 11 10 -
D'Angelo Russell * 26 4-11 0-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
Roy Hibbert * 26 2-3 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 2 1 8 17 -
Metta World Peace 27 2-10 1-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 7 3 -
Nick Young 27 8-17 6-14 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 22 8 -
Brandon Bass 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 4 1 -

* = starter