Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.8% | 33.2% | -3.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Korver * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 31 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Patterson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 14 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mike Scott | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 23 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 26 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Damjan Rudez | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter