Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (109-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Faried * | 39 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay * | 31 | 3-13 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jameer Nelson | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Will Barton | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Randy Foye | 16 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mike Miller | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clarkson * | 37 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 20 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Lou Williams | 33 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 16-19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Tarik Black | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Young | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcelo Huertas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter