Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (92-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Taylor * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Troy Daniels * | 29 | 7-15 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 27 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Johnson * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter