Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (101-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Walker * | 48 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| James Ennis III * | 48 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 48 | 12-27 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 27 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 48 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Zoran Dragic * | 40 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 41 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Henry Sims * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Hollis Thompson * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 29 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 16 | - |
* = starter