Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (114-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Crabbe * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tim Frazier * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 29 | 8-24 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bernard James | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter