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2015-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +6 (91-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMarre Carroll * 27 4-14 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 -2 -
Paul Millsap * 27 2-9 0-1 1-2 6 4 4 2 1 5 11 -
Al Horford * 22 7-10 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 2 1 14 17 -
Jeff Teague * 22 5-11 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 1 3 10 4 -
Kyle Korver * 21 3-6 2-5 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
Pero Antic * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Dennis Schröder * 16 9-13 2-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 21 8 -
Elton Brand * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Austin Daye * 12 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 2 2 1 1 -
John Jenkins * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mike Muscala 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 7 3 -
Shelvin Mack 17 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Kent Bazemore 14 1-4 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 1 3 1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 40 6-14 2-2 7-9 6 3 2 1 0 21 19 -
Pau Gasol * 37 6-15 0-0 6-8 13 1 1 2 6 18 14 -
Aaron Brooks * 32 8-18 2-5 5-5 6 3 4 0 4 23 14 -
Nikola Mirotic * 31 3-9 2-7 3-3 6 3 1 3 2 11 13 -
Mike Dunleavy * 28 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 5 5 -
Tony Snell * 23 2-6 0-4 1-1 5 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
Taj Gibson * 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 1 -
Derrick Rose * 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -
Nazr Mohammed * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
E'Twaun Moore 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter