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2015-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Beno Udrih * 25 3-12 0-0 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 7 2 -
JaMychal Green * 24 4-5 0-1 2-2 8 0 2 1 3 10 13 -
Courtney Lee * 21 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 9 4 -
Zach Randolph * 21 3-7 0-0 4-4 5 4 1 0 2 10 11 -
Kosta Koufos * 21 4-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 8 6 -
Jeff Green * 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Jordan Adams * 21 6-15 2-5 5-7 2 2 2 0 1 19 9 -
Marc Gasol * 20 3-7 0-0 0-2 2 4 0 1 1 6 5 -
Vince Carter * 18 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Nick Calathes * 16 1-7 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Russ Smith 10 5-8 1-2 5-5 2 4 1 0 2 16 13 -
Jon Leuer 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Jarnell Stokes 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 0 7 8 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 29 15-20 8-10 4-4 5 3 1 0 2 42 29 -
Stephen Curry * 29 6-10 3-6 0-0 4 8 1 0 3 15 15 -
Draymond Green * 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 9 4 1 0 3 5 12 -
Shaun Livingston * 24 2-3 0-0 2-4 1 2 2 0 3 6 5 -
Harrison Barnes * 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 2 0 2 4 -
Andre Iguodala * 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 2 5 -
Festus Ezeli * 18 3-5 0-0 3-5 5 1 0 3 1 9 12 -
Andrew Bogut * 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 0 6 13 -
Leandro Barbosa * 14 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 9 4 -
David Lee * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 3 -1 -
Marreese Speights * 12 1-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Justin Holiday 6 0-3 0-0 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Brandon Rush 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter