Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (100-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 42 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 40 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Willie Green * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| James Ennis III * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter