Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (106-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 27 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 19 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 18 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Bernard James | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Brown * | 42 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Tarik Black * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Dwight Buycks * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 20 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter