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2015-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (107-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 41 7-13 0-3 6-6 4 10 0 0 1 20 20 -
P.J. Tucker * 39 3-8 1-2 1-2 8 1 3 0 2 8 10 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 29 4-11 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
Archie Goodwin * 28 5-15 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 11 -2 -
T.J. Warren * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
Markieff Morris * 26 4-10 1-3 3-4 5 1 1 1 1 12 9 -
Gerald Green * 25 8-16 2-3 5-7 4 2 0 0 1 23 12 -
Earl Barron * 19 2-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Jerel McNeal 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 34 6-12 1-2 5-5 9 1 1 0 1 18 16 -
Danny Green * 30 3-7 3-6 3-3 2 3 1 1 2 12 10 -
Tony Parker * 26 5-10 0-1 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 10 5 -
Tim Duncan * 25 7-11 0-0 8-9 10 4 2 2 1 22 28 -
Boris Diaw * 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
Marco Belinelli * 23 4-8 2-5 3-3 4 1 0 0 2 13 8 -
Cory Joseph * 19 5-7 1-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 13 13 -
Manu Ginobili * 18 1-3 1-2 6-10 3 4 1 2 1 9 15 -
Aron Baynes * 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Kyle Anderson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Patty Mills 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Reggie Williams 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jeff Ayres 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter